"Time Series Forecasting - Demo"

josebaldiviesojosebaldivieso MemberPosts:3Contributor I
edited June 2019 inHelp
Hello all, I'm testing RapidMiner features and I need to build a simple Forecast model. I did a little research and I found a few videos and tutorials about that but all of them test the Performance or Accuracy of the models and never get a concrete result. Does anyone have a tutorial to build a sales forecast (Only having Date and Amount as Input) and Predict 1 month ahead?.

Thanks in advance.

PS: I'm sorry if I choose the wrong topic.
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Answers

  • JEdwardJEdward RapidMiner Certified Analyst, RapidMiner Certified Expert, MemberPosts:578Unicorn
    我很喜欢Simafore博客。他们有很多practical examples on how to use RapidMiner to do various tasks in a business context:

    Here is part one of their two part Time Series tutorial.
    http://www.simafore.com/blog/bid/106430/Using-RapidMiner-for-time-series-forecasting-in-cost-modeling-1-of-2

    Hope that helps.
  • josebaldiviesojosebaldivieso MemberPosts:3Contributor I
    Thanks JEdward, actually I had already tried to adapt that tutorial to my sample data but I can't really predict anything. I set the Horizon value to 1 or 5 but It just shows my Data and not new Days with the amount.
    Maybe I Misunderstood the Goals of this kind of tool but in Microsoft Mining I can get new predicted months/days based on my historical Data, is that possible?

    Thanks again, have a nive day!
  • JEdwardJEdward RapidMiner Certified Analyst, RapidMiner Certified Expert, MemberPosts:578Unicorn
    Okay. If I get you correctly, you have the values say:
    Year Population
    1999 5m
    2000 6m
    2001 4.5m
    2002 7m
    And you want to predict the population in say... 2053. For that a very simple way is to generate a trend from the data you have and apply it to your unseen values.
    Here's an simple example for demonstration with no model validation to test accuracy.
    It uses the World Bank population data of Germany and it calculates based on the trend that the population will be 94,494,157 in 2053.
    To get the World Bank operator install the Rapid Finance extension from the marketplace.



















    <参数键= "属性" value = " | |年值" / >










































































    Is this closer to what you are after?
  • josebaldiviesojosebaldivieso MemberPosts:3Contributor I
    Brilliant! Thank you, It was really helpfull.
  • peterq1804peterq1804 MemberPosts:1Contributor I

    Those is for? because I need predict or forecast piping failures in a Distribution network of drinking water in a determinated place, I hace to put this programming code or i can build this model with the tools of RapidMiner?

    Thanks you a lot of...

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